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Forecast sales with intermittent demand and zero values

min $50 AUD / hour

Cerrado
Publicado hace más de 6 años

min $50 AUD / hour

You must have done a similar project and be able to demonstrate this. We have sales data for thousands of customers. Some customers spend every day, some once per year. We want to forecast weekly sales. Some customers will have 0 sales in weeks. this is valid. this does not mean we do not have data, it means the customer does not buy every week. We wish to re-forecast every customer on a schedule (e.g. weekly) and on demand. The only data we have available is sales transactions, for example: Date | Customer | Product | Amount | Quantity We can feature engineer this data to show sales in any period and by features such as: a) spent in last 7 days b) spent in last 8-14 days c) spent in last 15-21 days etc. d) total unique spending days e) days since last spend f) days between spend (average, std dev, etc) g) total unique products purchased h) time 'chunks' of 7 days, 30 days, 365 days, calendar weeks, months, whatever, etc g) overall propensity to spend (e.g. 18% of customers spend 3-5 times and this customer has spent x times) You can feature engineer anything you like, or if you tell us what you want, we can do it to prepare the data. What we cannot do is provide more data on the customer to assist the forecast. We only know the customer number, days on which they spent, amounts they spent, and quantities purchased. The challenge we see is there is lots of sparsity in the data. For every customer, the questions we wish to answer are: 1) will this customer spend again in the next 365 days (yes or no) 2) what is the probability score of this customer spending again in the next 365 days 3) what is the amount this customer will spend in the next 365 days 4) what is the probability score of this customer spending the 365-day forecasted amount in the next 365 days 5) will this customer spend again in the next 7 days (yes or no) 6) what is the probability score of this customer spending again in the next 7 days 7) what is the amount this customer will spend in the next 7 days 8) what is the probability score of this customer spending the 7-day forecasted amount in the next 7 days If you can assist in answering all the questions with the available data let's talk. Budget. Talk sensibly about the project and we can establish a budget acceptable to both of us. But we need to see experience with the problem and early prototype results to work together.
ID del proyecto: 16284463

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18 propuestas
Proyecto remoto
Activo hace 6 años

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18 freelancers están ofertando un promedio de $61 AUD /hora por este trabajo
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Hi I have 10 years experience in data analysis, machine learning, forecasting, and data mining. I have worked on a number of similar project such as forecasting the required heating for the next month (today+30 days) in a building (based on previous data for temperature and heating), predicting the next value (in a gambling game), Social networks data analysis systems, predicting users opinion (opinion mining Systems), extracting BPMN diagram from text I would be happy to work on this project since it is related to my speciality Thanks
$55 AUD en 40 días
5,0 (37 comentarios)
7,2
7,2
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Hi I am a very experienced statistician and business analyst. I have completed several PhD level thesis projects involving advanced statistical analysis of data. I have worked with data from several companies and have done projects involving high level quantitative analysis and data interpretation skills to study the trends, time behaviour and compare the variables in the data. I can do advanced level analysis in SPSS, R, WEKA, TABLEAU and excel tools like machine learning, hypothesis testing, forecasting, T-test, ANOVA etc. Looking forward to discussion, Best Regards, Suyash
$100 AUD en 40 días
4,7 (145 comentarios)
7,1
7,1
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I have a good hands on working with Advanced Excel, R and Python and BI tools and technologies, AI, Big Data. I have quite a good knowledge of DL/ML Algorithm , have also developed Dashboards and Web Application. My area of expertise is building financial models (Stock Markets), Image Processing, Classification/Prediction/Clustering, NLP and Chatbots. I understand the project requirement and will deliver the desired product within the time specified.
$50 AUD en 40 días
4,7 (99 comentarios)
7,1
7,1
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Dear Sir/Madam, I can do this task perfectly for you. I am and expert in advanced excel skills and have a strong financial background. Moreover, have already done lots of similar customized excel template for different businesses and clients across the world. Please refer my profile to see more details about me, my work and reliability, and if you are comfortable, we can discuss the project. I look forward to hearing form you. Best regards Priyal
$50 AUD en 5 días
4,9 (12 comentarios)
4,1
4,1
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If you are looking for top notch work then hire me. Can assure high quality work is delivered to your satisfaction. I am PG in Business Analytics and Business Intelligence from Premier B School certified by Illinos Technical University USA.
$55 AUD en 21 días
5,0 (3 comentarios)
3,6
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i am machine learning developer so no one can do it better than me....................................................................
$55 AUD en 40 días
4,9 (12 comentarios)
3,5
3,5
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Greeting, I have understood your Forecast sales with intermittent demand and zero values task and can do it with your 100% satisfaction. Please ping me for more discussion. I have more than 5 years of experience in Machine Learning, Programming, Python, R Programming Language, Statistics
$50 AUD en 40 días
5,0 (1 comentario)
2,5
2,5
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Dear, client. This letter is to express my interest in your job posting for an experienced, detail-oriented, full stack developer. With 5 years of hands-on experience efficiently coding websites and hybrid apps. I am confident I will be an excellent addition to your organization. Building state-of-the-art, easy to use, user-friendly websites and hybrid apps is truly a passion of mine. I actively seek out new technologies and stay up-to-date on industry trends and advancements. Thank you for your time and consideration I look forward to speaking with you about this opportunity.
$55 AUD en 40 días
5,0 (3 comentarios)
1,1
1,1
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Hi, I'm new to Data Mining area, I have learned several Machine Learning online courses last year. And, I have done a similar prediction with a team for an Uber-like application, it predicts what's the customer destination based on the time and location he/she opens the app. I have a few ideas about how to make the predictions in your case. Would you like to let me have a look at the data and give it a try? Thanks.
$55 AUD en 40 días
0,0 (0 comentarios)
0,0
0,0
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Hello, we have a similar project but not this large scale database but on our log to find and particular trend for the errors. If you can give us a sample project we can demonstrate our skill in machine learning and if you are OK we can proceed future.
$55 AUD en 40 días
0,0 (0 comentarios)
0,0
0,0
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Hello, I am full-time freelancer, I have gone through your project description I can do it. I am a Software developer with having a good knowledge and experience with Python,R programming,Machine learning . I am Master of these skills C, C++, C# programming, R programming ,Machine learning ,Python, Java, .Net, Software development, Software architecture . I am always happy to work and help you . I have completed a lot of projects with 100% client satisfaction and make them happy. Further discussion will be through chat. Thanks.
$50 AUD en 40 días
0,0 (0 comentarios)
0,0
0,0
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I have done a project on time series. So I feel i can do this and provide you the solution for your requirement. Looking forward to have a conversation with you.
$55 AUD en 40 días
0,0 (0 comentarios)
0,0
0,0
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Dear Madam or Sir, herewith I would like to make a proposal to become a member of your team participating into Statistical Analysis and Reports demanded. Shortly about myself: • International Master Degree in Computational Mechanics at the Technical University of Munich, Dipl. in Mathematics and Mechanics • 5 years experience implementing and deploying advanced statistical solutions (interfaces) in Predictive Data Analytics (Machine learning in R) in the automotive industry (for large enterprise) • Experienced in International Sales Forecasting for large consumer goods companies • Specialist in BI and Data Analytics in Marketing/Fin. Services, Business Reporting for CRM Processes, designing and documentation of business requirements in Application Lifecycle Management Tool • Expertise in open source platforms, experience in Programming: MATLAB, Perl, C++, Python, PL/SQL, R • Eager to collaborate with clients to meet the requirements and excel their expectations • Self-motivated team player searching for challenging tasks with strong demonstrated consulting skills Regarding the project, I would like to place some questions about: - timeline of the project - requirements to a freelancer - topic of your research, data analytics and reporting. Kind Regards
$77 AUD en 40 días
0,0 (0 comentarios)
0,0
0,0
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I have two forecasting teams at the University of Cambridge (CAM) and De Montfort University (DMU) in Leicester, UK. I am Senior Lecturer at (DMU) and Teaching Associate at (CAM).
$122 AUD en 10 días
0,0 (0 comentarios)
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Bandera de AUSTRALIA
Pagewood, Australia
4,9
14
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Miembro desde sept 13, 2017

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